PASHMINA
is an effort to anticipate and model possible paradigm shifts in the economic, social, technological, and environmental spheres and to understand their implications. The project creates a host of scenarios depicting major changes in energy supplies, agriculture, land use, transportation, and the environment. A central goal of PASHMINA is to avoid the historical tendency of seeing the future as a continuation of the past and instead envision a future that is significantly different from the present.
IIASA’s economic, energy, and land-use models (including GLOBIOM and BeWhere) are being integrated with models used by other project consortium members and adapted to make long-range forecasts more sensitive to paradigm shifts. With better models detailing an array of scenarios, policymakers can better anticipate which options to choose and which to avoid.
Examining the trade-offs and the costs and benefits of different strategies is essential if scientists are to identify robust solutions to problems being exacerbated by limited resources and a changing climate.
01.11.2009 - 31.10.2012
PUBLICATIONS
Further Information
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313