Sergei Scherbov

Sergei Scherbov is the Deputy Program Director of the World Population Program (POP) at IIASA, Director of Demographic Analysis at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/OAW, WU), and Leader of the Population Dynamics and Forecasting Research Group at the Vienna Institute of Demography (VID), Austrian Academy of Sciences. He is Affiliated Professor at the College of Population Studies, Chulalongkorn University, Thailand, and Head of International Laboratory on Demography and Human Capital at the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.

Dr. Scherbov graduated from the Moscow Aviation University where he studied operation research and applied mathematics, and received his PhD in theory of systems, control theory and systems analysis from the Research Institute for Systems Studies of the USSR Academy of Sciences.

From 1982, he was a frequent collaborator and Guest Research Scholar with the Population Program, which he then joined as a staff member in 1987. From 1991-2001, he was Researcher and Senior Lecturer at the University of Groningen, The Netherlands, teaching on Demographic Methods and Computer Based Demographic Analysis. He returned to IIASA in 2002, to work on issues related to demographic modeling.

Dr. Scherbov has given numerous intensive "hands on" courses in the field of Demographic Analysis and Computer Applications at many universities and statistical offices across the globe, many of which were organized by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA). In recent years, Dr. Scherbov also assisted a number of governments in defining and evaluating population policies.

His main current research interests are in population projections, new measures of aging, and analysis of aging that takes into consideration changing characteristics of people. Scherbov is author, co-author, or co-editor of several books and more than 200 articles published in professional journals, including six articles in "Science" and "Nature". In 2012, he received a prestigious Advanced Grant from the European Research Council (ERC) to study new measures of aging.


Last update: 02 MAR 2018

Sanchez-Niubo, A., Forero, C.G., Wu, Y.-T., Giné-Vázquez, L., Prina, M., De La Fuente, J., Daskalopoulou, C., Critselis, E., De La Torre-Luque, A., Panagiotakos, D., Arndt, H., Ayuso-Mateos, J.L., Bayes-Marin, I., Bickenbach, J., Bobak, M., Caballero, F.F., Chatterji, S., Egea-Cortés, L., García-Esquinas, E., Leonardi, M., Koskinen, S., Koupil, I., Mellor-Marsá, B., Olaya, B., Pająk, A., Prince, M., Raggi, A., Rodríguez-Artalejo, F., Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , Tamosiunas, A., Tobias-Adamczyk, B., Tyrovolas, S., & Haro, J.M. (2020). Development of a common scale for measuring healthy ageing across the world: results from the ATHLOS consortium. International Journal of Epidemiology, dyaa236. 10.1093/ije/dyaa236.

Gietel-Basten, S., Saucedo, S.E.G., & Scherbov, S. (2020). Prospective measures of aging for Central and South America. PLOS ONE 15 (7), e0236280. 10.1371/journal.pone.0236280.

Weber, D. & Scherbov, S. (2020). Prospects of activity limitations among older adults in 23 low and middle income countries. Scientific Reports 10 (1) 10.1038/s41598-020-67166-4.

Gietel-Basten, S., Mau, V., Scherbov, S. , & Shulgin, S. (2020). The Gender Gap in Reaching “Old Age” in the Russian Federation: A Regional Approach. Journal of Aging & Social Policy, 1-11. 10.1080/08959420.2020.1777823.

Tyrovolas, S., Panaretos, D., Daskalopoulou, C., Gine-Vazquez, I., Niubo, A.S., Olaya, B., Bobak, M., Prince, Ma., Prina, M., Ayuso-Mateos, J.L., Caballero, F.F., Garcia-Esquinas, E., Holger, A., Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W., Gheno, I., Koupil, I., Bickenbach, J., Chatterji, S., Koskinen, S., Raggi, A., Pajak, A., Tobiasz-Adamczyk, B., Haro, J.Ma., & Panagiotakos, D. (2020). Alcohol Drinking and Health in Ageing: A Global Scale Analysis of Older Individual Data through the Harmonised Dataset of ATHLOS. Nutrients 12 (6), e1746. 10.3390/nu12061746.

Marois, G. , Muttarak, R. , & Scherbov, S. (2020). Assessing the potential impact of COVID-19 on life expectancy. IIASA Working Paper. Laxenburg, Austria: WP-20-005

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W., & Andruchowitz, S. (2020). Aging Demographic Data Sheet 2020. IIASA

Marois, G. , Muttarak, R. , & Scherbov, S. (2020). Assessing the potential impact of COVID-19 on life expectancy. PLOS ONE 15 (9), e0238678. 10.1371/journal.pone.0238678.

Philipov, D. & Scherbov, S. (2020). Subjective length of life of European individuals at older ages: Temporal and gender distinctions. PLOS ONE 15 (3), e0229975. 10.1371/journal.pone.0229975.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2020). Choosing between the UN’s alternative views of population aging. PLOS ONE 15 (7), e0233602. 10.1371/journal.pone.0233602.

Scherbov, S. & Gietel-Basten, S. (2020). Measuring inequalities of development at the sub-national level: From the human development index to the human life indicator. PLOS ONE 15 (4), e0232014. 10.1371/journal.pone.0232014.

Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W. (2020). New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing. In: Developments in Demographic Forecasting. Eds. Mazzuco, S. & Keilman, N., pp. 243-258 Cham, Switzerland: Springer. ISBN 978-3-030-42471-810.1007/978-3-030-42472-5_12.

Sobotka, T., Zeman, K., Spitzer, S. , Reiter, C. , di Lego, V., Yildiz, D. , Özdemir, C., Goujon, A. , Binder-Hammer, B., Bloom, D., Fan, V., Kufenko, V., Ogbuoji, O., Prettner, K., Yamey, K., Rowe, F., Bell, M., Bernard, A., Charles-Edwards, E., & Scherbov, S. (2020). European Demographic Data Sheet 2020. Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OEAW, WU)

Gietel-Basten, S. & Scherbov, S. (2019). Is half the world’s population really below ‘replacement-rate’? PLoS ONE 14 (12), e0224985. 10.1371/journal.pone.0224985.

Gietel-Basten, S. & Scherbov, S. (2019). Exploring the ‘True Value’ of Replacement Rate Fertility. Population Research and Policy Review 39, 763-772. 10.1007/s11113-019-09561-y.

Gietel-Basten, S. & Scherbov, S. (2019). Better way to measure ageing in Oceania that takes life expectancy into account. Australasian Journal on Ageing 38 (3), 98-102. 10.1111/ajag.12692.

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W., & Andruchowitz, S. (2019). United States Aging Data Sheet 2019. IIASA

Sanchez-Niubo, A., Egea-Cortés, L., Olaya, B., Caballero, F., Ayuso-Mateos, J., Prina, M., Bobak, M., Arndt, H., Tobiasz-Adamczyk, B., Pająk, A., Leonardi, M., Koupil, I., Panagiotakos, D., Tamosiunas, A., Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W., Koskinen, S., Chatterji, S., & Haro, J. (2019). Cohort profile: The Ageing Trajectories of Health – Longitudinal Opportunities and Synergies (ATHLOS) project. International Journal of Epidemiology 48 (4), dyz077. 10.1093/ije/dyz077.

Gietel-Basten, S., Mau, V., Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , & Shulgin, S. (2019). Ageing in Russia: a Regional Appraisal. Journal of Population Ageing, 1-18. 10.1007/s12062-019-9238-x.

Ghislandi, S., Sanderson, W., & Scherbov, S. (2019). A Simple Measure of Human Development: the Human Life Indicator. Population and Development Review 45 (1), 219-233. 10.1111/padr.12205.

Ediev, D. , Sanderson, W., & Scherbov, S. (2019). The inverse relationship between life expectancy-induced changes in the old-age dependency ratio and the prospective old-age dependency ratio. Theoretical Population Biology 125, 1-10. 10.1016/j.tpb.2018.10.001.

Scherbov, S. , Shulgin, S., Andruchowitz, S., Arkhangelsky, V., Ediev, D. , Efremov, I., Nikitina, S., & Sanderson, W. (2019). Russian Demographic Data Sheet 2019. Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat), and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

Prskawetz, A., Sanderson, W., & Scherbov, S. (2019). Broadening demographic horizons: demographic studies beyond age and gender. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2019. pp. 001-005 Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. ISBN 978-3-7001-8364-810.1553/POPULATIONYEARBOOK2018S001.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2019). Prospective Longevity: A New Vision of Population Aging. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. ISBN 978-0-06-7497561-3

Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , & Gerland, P. (2019). The end of population aging in high-income countries. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2019. pp. 163-175 Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. ISBN 978-3-7001-8364-810.1553/POPULATIONYEARBOOK2018S163.

Arpino, B., Bordone, V., & Scherbov, S. (2018). Smoking, education and the ability to predict own survival probabilities. Advances in Life Course Research 37, 23-30. 10.1016/j.alcr.2018.06.001.

Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , & Gerland, P. (2018). The end of population aging in high-income countries. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018. Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences.

Scherbov, S. , Andruchowitz, S., & Sanderson, W. (2018). Aging Demographic Data Sheet 2018. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2017). Aumentos na expectativa de vida podem levar a um envelhecimento populacional mais lento. Informe de Previdencia Social-Nota Tecnica

Scherbov, S. & Weber, D. (2017). Future trends in the prevalence of severe activity limitations among older adults in Europe: a cross-national population study using EU-SILC. BMJ Open 7 (9), e017654. 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-017654.

Arpino, B., Bordone, V., & Scherbov, S. (2017). Smoking, Education and the Ability to Predict Own Survival Probabilities: An Observational Study on US Data. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-012

Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , & Gerland, P. (2017). Probabilistic Population Aging. PLoS ONE 12 (6), e0179171. 10.1371/journal.pone.0179171.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2017). Gender Inequality in Survival at Older Ages. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-002

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2017). Developing and Applying Population and Human Capital Projections around the World. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Scherbov, S. , Andruchowitz, S., Ediev, D. , Nikitina, S., & Shulgin, S. (2017). Russian Demographic Data Sheet 2016. RANEPA, Rosstat, and IIASA

Gietel-Basten, S., Scherbov, S. , & Sanderson, W. (2017). Towards a reconceptualising of population ageing in emerging markets. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2016. Eds. Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W., pp. 41-66 Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences. ISBN 978-3-7001-8151-410.1553/populationyearbook2016s041.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2017). Introduction. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2016. Eds. Gietel-Basten, S., Scherbov, S. , & Sanderson, W., pp. 1-3 Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences. ISBN 978-3-7001-8151-410.1553 / populationyearbook2016s001.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2017). A unifying framework for the study of population aging. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2016. Eds. Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W., pp. 7-40 Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences. ISBN 978-3-7001-8151-410.1553/populationyearbook2016s007.

Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W. (2017). Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2016. Vienna, Austria: Austrian Academy of Sciences. ISBN 978-3-7001-8151-4

Ediev, D. , Sanderson, W., & Scherbov, S (2016). The Formal Demography of Prospective Age: The Relationship Between the Old-Age Dependency Ratio and the Prospective Old-Age Dependency Ratio. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-16-024

Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. , Weber, D. , & Bordone, V. (2016). Combined Measures of Upper and Lower Body Strength and Subgroup Differences in Subsequent Survival Among the Older Population of England. Journal of Aging and Health 28 (7), 1178-1193. 10.1177/0898264316656515.

Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W. (2016). New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Aging. Journal of Aging and Health 28 (7), 1159-1177. 10.1177/0898264316656517.

Vinokurov, E., Balás, P., Emerson, M., Havlik, P., Pereboev, V., Rovenskaya, E. , Stepanova, A., Kofner, J., & Kabat, P. (2016). Challenges and Opportunities of Economic Integration within a Wider European and Eurasian Space. Synthesis Report. In: Challenges and Opportunities of Economic Integration within a Wider European and Eurasian Space, IIASA, Laxenburg.

Philipov, D. & Scherbov, S. (2016). Differences by union status in health and mortality at older ages: Results for 16 European countries. Demographic Research 35, 535-556. 10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.19.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2016). Analyzing Population Aging from a New Perspective. IIASA Policy Brief. Laxenburg, Austria: PB-12

Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , Weber, D. , & Bordone, V. (2016). Combined Measures of Upper and Lower Body Strength and Subgroup Differences in Subsequent Survival Among the Older Population of England. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-16-008

Scherbov, S. & Sanderson, W.C. (2016). New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Aging. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-16-005

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W., & Gietel-Basten, S. (2016). Better way to measure ageing in East Asia that takes life expectancy into account. Australasian Journal on Ageing 35 (2), 139-142. 10.1111/ajag.12267.

Scherbov, S. & Ediev, D. (2016). Does selection of mortality model make a difference in projecting population ageing? Demographic Research 34 (2), 39-62. 10.4054/DemRes.2016.34.2.

Mamolo, M., Potančoková, M. , Scherbov, S. , Sobotka, S., & Zeman, K. (2016). European Demographic Datasheet 2016. Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OEAW, WU)

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2016). A new perspective on patterns of aging in Europe by education and gender. Journal of Population Ageing 9 (3), 207-225. 10.1007/s12062-015-9125-z.

Scherbov, S. , Mamolo, M., Potančoková, M. , Sobotka, T., & Zeman, K. (2016). European Demographic Datasheet 2016. Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OEAW, WU), Vienna

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2015). Are we overly dependent on conventional dependency ratios? Population and Development Review 41 (4), 687-708. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2015.00091.x.

Bordone, V., Scherbov, S. , & Steiber, N. (2015). Smarter Every Day: The Deceleration of Population Ageing in Terms of Cognition. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.

Bordone, V., Scherbov, S. , & Steiber, N. (2015). Smarter every day: the deceleration of population ageing in terms of cognition. Intelligence 50, 90-96. 10.1016/j.intell.2015.07.005.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2015). An easily understood and intergenerationally equitable normal pension age. In: The Future of Welfare in a Global Europe. Eds. Marin, Bernd, pp. 193-220 Farnham: Ashgate. ISBN 978-1-4724-6309-8

Gietel-Basten, S., Scherbov, S. , & Sanderson, W. (2015). Remeasuring ageing in Southeast Asia. Asian Population Studies 11 (2), 191-210. 10.1080/17441730.2015.1052201.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2015). Faster increases in human life expectancy could lead to slower population aging. PLoS ONE 10 (4), e0121922. 10.1371/journal.pone.0121922.

Sanderson, W. & Scherbov, S. (2015). The Characteristics Approach to Population Aging: New Measures.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2014). An Easily Understood and Intergenerationally Equitable Normal Pension Age. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-14-020

Bordone, V., Scherbov, S. , & Steiber, N. (2014). Is Population Ageing Decelerating in Terms of Cognition? IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-14-015

Ediev, D. , Coleman, D., & Scherbov, S. (2014). New measures of population reproduction for an era of high migration. Population, Space and Place 20 (7), 622-645. 10.1002/psp.1799.

Lutz, W., Butz, W.P., K.C., S., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2014). Population growth: Peak probability. Science 346 (6209), p. 561. 10.1126/science.346.6209.561-a.

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W.C., K.C., S., & Lutz, W. (2014). Remeasuring 21st century population ageing. In: World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-first Century. Eds. Lutz, W, Butz, WP, & KC, S, UK: Oxford University Press. ISBN 0198703163

Scherbov, S. & Ediev, D. (2014). Does Selection of Mortality Model Make a Difference in Projecting Population Ageing? IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-14-012

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2014). Measuring the speed of aging across population subgroups. PLoS ONE 9 (5), e96289. 10.1371/journal.pone.0096289.

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W.C., & Mamolo, M. (2014). Quantifying policy tradeoffs to support aging populations. Demographic Research 30 (20), 579-608. 10.4054/DemRes.2014.30.20.

Mamolo, M., Potančoková, M. , Scherbov, S. , Sobotka, T., & Zeman, K. (2014). European Demographic Data Sheet 2014. Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OEAW, WU)

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2013). The characteristics approach to the measurement of population aging. Population and Development Review 39 (4), 673-685. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00633.x.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2013). The Characteristics Approach to the Measurement of Population Aging. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-13-007

Basten, S., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (2013). Very long range global population scenarios to 2300 and the implications of sustained low fertility. Demographic Research 28 (39), 1145-1166. 10.4054/DemRes.2013.28.39.

Scherbov, S. , Sanderson, W.C., & Mamolo, M. (2012). Quantifying Policy Tradeoffs to Support Aging Populations. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-12-015

Lutz, W., Butz, W.P., Castro, M., Dasgupta, P., Demeny, P.G., Ehrlich, I., Giorguli, S., Habte, D., Haug, W., Hayes, A., Herrmann, M., Jiang, L., King, D., Kotte, D., Lees, M., Makinwa-Adebusoye, P.K., McGranahan, G., Mishra, V., Montgomery, M.R., Riahi, K. , Scherbov, S. , Peng, X., & Yeoh, B. (2012). Demography's role in sustainable development. Science 335 (6071) 10.1126/science.335.6071.918-a.

Ediev, D. , Mamolo, M., Potančoková, M. , Scherbov, S. , Sobotka, T., & Zeman, K. (2012). European Demographic Data Sheet 2012. Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OEAW, WU)

Scherbov, S. , Lutz, W., & Sanderson, W.C. (2011). The uncertain timing of reaching 8 billion, peak world population, and other demographic milestones. Population and Development Review 37 (3), 571-578. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00435.x.

Scherbov, S. & Ediev, D. (2011). Significance of life table estimates for small populations: Simulation-based study of estimation errors. Demographic Research 24 (22), 527-550. 10.4054/DemRes.2011.24.22.

Scherbov, S. , Lutz, W., & Sanderson, W.C. (2011). The Uncertain Timing of Reaching 7 Billion and Peak Population. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-11-002

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2010). Remeasuring aging. Science 329 (5997), 1287-1288. 10.1126/science.1193647.

Scherbov, S. & Ediev, D. (2010). Significance of Life Table Estimates for Small Populations: Simulation-Based Study of Estimation Errors. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-10-009

Lutz, W., Mamolo, M., Scherbov, S. , Sobotka, T., & Zeman, K. (2010). European Demographic Data Sheet 2010. Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/OEAW, WU)

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2009). Future Trends in the Prevalence of Severe Activity Limitations in Developed Countries. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-09-047

Ren, Q., Zheng, X., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (2009). China's grave demographic challenges in coming decades. China Economist 3, 92-103.

Ren, Q., Zheng, X., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (2009). Uncertain population dynamics and HIV/AIDS in China. In: Gender Policy and HIV in China: Catalyzing Policy Change. Eds. Tucker, J., Poston, D.L., Ren, Q., Gu, B., Zheng, X., & Russell, C., Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-1-4020-9899-410.1007/978-1-4020-9900-7_2.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2009). Aging: A new look into an old problem. DOI:10.1007/s00508-009-1195-6. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Aging.

Lutz, W., K.C., S., & Scherbov, S. (2009). Future population growth, aging and human capital in the Mediterranean. In: Lutz W & Goujon A (eds), [[Capital Humano, Genero y Envejecimiento en el Mediterraneo]], PAPERSIEMed. 7, IEMed., Barcelona, Spain pp.19-29 (2009)

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , & K.C., S. (2009). Demographic and human-capital trends in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa. In: Talent, Competitiveness and Migration. Eds. Stiftung, Bertelsmann & Institute, Migration Policy, Guetersloh: Verlag Bertelsmann Stiftung. ISBN 978-3-86793-039-0

Lutz, W., K.C., S., Khan, H.T.A., Scherbov, S. , & Leeson, G.W. (2009). Future ageing in Southeast Asia: Demographic trends, human capital, and health status. In: Older Persons in Southeast Asia: An Emerging Asset. Eds. Arifin, E.N. & Ananta, A., Singapore pp.47-67: ISEAS Publishing. ISBN 978-9812309433

Mamolo, M. & Scherbov, S. (2009). Population Projections for Forty-Four European Countries: The Ongoing Population Ageing. [[European Demographic Research Papers]] 2/2009, Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna, Austria (2009)

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2008). Can immigration compensate for Europe's low fertility? In: Hommage a Gerard Calot: Profession, Demographe. Eds. Festy, P. & Sardon, J-P., Paris: Institut National d'Etudes Demographiques (INED). ISBN 9-782733-240236

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2008). Exploratory Extension of IIASA's World Population Projections: Scenarios to 2300. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-08-022

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2008). Rethinking age and aging. Population Bulletin 63 (4), 1-16.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , & K.C., S. (2008). Demographic and Human-Capital Trends in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington: Migration Policy Institute.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2008). Global and Regional Population Ageing: How Certain Are We of its Dimensions? IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-08-015

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2008). Global and regional population ageing: How certain are we of its dimensions? Population Ageing 1 (1), 75-97. 10.1007/s12062-009-9005-5.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2008). The coming acceleration of global population ageing. Nature 451 (7179), 716-719. 10.1038/nature06516.

Scherbov, S. & Ediev, D. (2008). Probabilistic Household Projections based on an Extension of the Headship Rates Method with an Application to the Case of Russia. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-08-002

Lutz, W., Mamolo, M., Potančoková, M. , Scherbov, S. , & Sobotka, T. (2008). European Demographic Data Sheet 2008. Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2008). O contributo da imigracao para o futuro demografico da Europa. In: A Europa e os Seus Imigrantes no Seculo XXI. Eds. Papademetriou, D.G., Lisbon: Fundacao Luso-Americana para o Desenvolvimento. ISBN 978-972-8654-33-7

Qiang, R., Zheng, X.-Y., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (2008). Uncertain demographic dynamics in China. Chinese Journal of Population Science 6, 19-27.

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , Cao, G.-Y., Ren, Q., & Zheng, X.-Y. (2007). China's uncertain demographic present and future. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. pp. 37-59 Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. 10.1553/populationyearbook2007s37.

Grubler, A. , O'Neill, B.C., Riahi, K. , Chirkov, V., Goujon, A. , Kolp, P., Prommer, I., Scherbov, S. , & Slentoe, E. (2007). Regional, national, and spatially explicit scenarios of demographic and economic change based on SRES. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 74 (7), 980-1029. 10.1016/j.techfore.2006.05.023.

Lutz, W., K.C., S., Khan, H.T.A., Scherbov, S. , & Leeson, G.W. (2007). Future Ageing in Southeast Asia: Demographic Trends, Human Capital and Health Status. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-07-026

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2007). The Contribution of Migration to Europe's Demographic Future: Projections for the EU-25 to 2050. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-07-024

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2007). A new perspective on population aging. Demographic Research 16 (2), 27-58. 10.4054/DemRes.2007.16.2.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2007). A Near Electoral Majority of Pensioners: Prospects and Policies. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RP-07-003. Reprinted from Population and Development Review, 33(3):543-554 (September 2007).

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2007). A near electoral majority of pensioners: Prospects and policies. Population and Development Review 33 (3), 543-554. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2007.00184.x.

Scherbov, S. & Ediev, D. (2007). Probabilistic household projections based on an extension of headship rates method with application to the case of Russia. In: Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections, 10-12 October 2007.

O'Neill, B.C. & Scherbov, S. (2006). Interpreting UN Urbanization Projections Using Multi-state Model. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-06-012

Berghammer, C., Gisser, R., Lutz, W., Mamolo, M., Philipov, D., Scherbov, S. , & Sobotka, T. (2006). European Demographic Data Sheet 2006. Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2006). Future demographic change in Europe: The contribution of migration. In: Europe and Its Immigrants in the 21st Century: A New Deal or a Continuing Dialogue of the Deaf? Eds. Papademetriou, D.G., Washington DC: Migration Policy Institute. ISBN 09742819-4-8

Mamolo, M. & Scherbov, S. (2006). Population Projections for non-EU / non-EFTA Countries in Europe. [[European Demographic Research Papers]] 2/2006, Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna, Austria (2006)

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2005). A New Perspective on Population Aging. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-05-060

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , Cao, G.-Y., Ren, Q., & Zheng, X.-Y. (2005). China's Uncertain Demographic Present and Future. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-05-043

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2005). Average remaining lifetimes can increase as human populations age. Nature 435 (7043), 811-813. 10.1038/nature03593.

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2005). Will population ageing necessarily lead to an increase in the number of persons with disabilities? Alternative scenarios for the European Union. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. pp. 219-234 Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. 10.1553/populationyearbook2005s219.

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2005). Average Remaining Lifetimes Can Increase as Human Populations Age. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RP-05-006. Reprinted from Nature, 435(7043):811-813 (9 June 2005).

Sanderson, W.C. & Scherbov, S. (2004). Putting Oeppen and Vaupel to Work: On the Road to New Stochastic Mortality Forecasts. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-04-049

Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , O'Neill, B.C., & Lutz, W. (2004). Conditional probabilistic population forecasting. International Statistical Review 72 (2), 157-166. 10.1111/j.1751-5823.2004.tb00230.x.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2004). The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2004). Probabilistic population projections for India with explicit consideration of the education-fertility link. International Statistical Review 72 (1), 81-92. 10.1111/j.1751-5823.2004.tb00225.x.

Scherbov, S. & van Vianen, H. (2004). Marriage in Russia: a reconstruction. Demographic Research 10 (2), 27-60. 10.4054/DemRes.2004.10.2.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2004). The end of world population growth. In: The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. Eds. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. , London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2004). Probabilistic population projections for Singapore and Asia. Innovation 5 (1), 44-45.

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , Makinwa-Adebusoye, P.K., & Reniers, G. (2004). Population-environment-development-agriculture interactions in Africa: A case study on Ethiopia. In: The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. Eds. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. , London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , Lutz, W., & O'Neill, B. (2004). Applications of probabilistic population forecasting. In: The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century. Eds. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. , pp. 85-120 Taylor & Francis. ISBN 978-131587057-110.4324/9781315870571.

Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , Lutz, W., & O'Neill, B.C. (2004). Applications of probabilistic population forecasting. In: The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development. Eds. Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. , London: Earthscan. ISBN 9781844070992

Goldstein, J.R., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (2003). Long-term population decline in Europe: The relative importance of tempo effects and generational length. Population and Development Review 29 (4), 699-707. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2003.00699.x.

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2003). Future Demographic Change in Europe: The Contribution of Migration. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-03-066

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , & Hanika, A. (2003). "Vienna: A city beyond aging" - Revisited and revised. In: Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. pp. 181-195 Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. 10.1553/populationyearbook2003s181.

Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , O'Neill, B.C., & Lutz, W. (2003). Conditional Probabilistic Population Forecasting. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-03-052

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2003). Toward Structural and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Projections in Asia: Endogenizing the Education-Fertility Links. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-03-014

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , & Sanderson, W.C. (2003). The end of population growth in Asia. Journal of Population Research 20 (1), 125-141. 10.1007/BF03031799.

Goldstein, J.R., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (2003). Long-Term Population Decline in Europe: The Relative Importance of Tempo Effects and Generational Effects. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-04-004. Reprinted from Population and Development Review, 29(4):699-707 (December 2003).

Lutz, W., O'Neill, B., & Scherbov, S. (2003). Europe's population at a turning point. Science 299 (5615), 1991-1992. 10.1126/science.1080316.

Lutz, W., O'Neill, B.C., & Scherbov, S. (2003). Europe's Population at a Turning Point. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-03-006. Reprinted from Science; 299(5615):1991-1992 (28 March 2003)

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2003). Can Immigration Compensate for Europe's Low Fertility? [[European Demographic Research Papers]] 1/2003, Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna, Austria (2003)

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2003). Will Population Ageing Necessarily Lead to an Increase in the Number of Persons with Disabilities? Alternative Scenarios for the European Union. [[European Demographic Research Papers]] 3/2003, Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences Vienna, Austria (2003)

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2002). The End of Population Growth in Asia. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-02-060

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2002). Can Immigration Compensate for Europe's Low Fertility? IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-02-052

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2002). Population ageing in europe: Demographic evidence and forecasts. In: Proceedings of 18th CEIES Seminar Active Ageing Statistics, 23-24 May 2002.

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , Prskawetz, A., Dworak, M., & Feichtinger, G. (2002). Population, natural resources, and food security: Lessons from comparing full and reduced-form models. In: Population and Environment: Methods of Analysis. Eds. W.C., W. Lutz, A. Prskawetz, & Sanderson, , New York: Population Council.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2001). The end of world population growth. Nature 412 (6846), 543-545. 10.1038/35087589.

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , & Aardt, C. van (2001). South Africa's Uncertain Demographic Present and Future. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-01-019

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2001). The End of World Population Growth. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-01-012. Reprinted from Nature; 412(6846):543-545 (2 August 2001)

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (2000). Quantifying vicious circle dynamics: The PEDA model for population, environment, development and agriculture in African countries. In: Optimization, Dynamics and Economic Analysis: Essays in Honor of Gustav Feichtinger. Eds. [[]], E.J. Dockner, Physica-Verlag. 10.1007/978-3-642-57684-3_26.

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, A., Dworak, M., & Feichtinger, G. (2000). Population, Natural Resources and Food Security Lessons from Comparing Full and Reduced Form Models. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-038

Lutz, W., Saariluoma, P., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2000). New Developments in the Methodology of Expert- and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Forecasting. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-020

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (2000). Likely future population trends in Greece and in the European Union. In: Demographic Ageing: Proceedings of a European Union-sponsored Symposium on "The Challenge of Demographic Ageing and the Knowledge-Based Society", 2-3 November 2000.

O'Neill, B.C., Scherbov, S. , & Lutz, W. (1999). The long-term effect of the timing of fertility decline on population size. Population and Development Review 25 (4), 749-756. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.1999.00749.x.

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1999). Quantifying Vicious Circle Dynamics: The PEDA Model for Population, Environment, Development and Agriculture in African Countries. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-99-049

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1999). What Do We Know About Future Changes in the Proportions of Children and Elderly in Europe? IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-99-012

Scherbov, S. & Vianen, H. van (1999). Marital and fertility careers of Russian women born between 1910 and 1935. Population and Development Review 25 (1), 129-143. 10.1111/j.1728-4457.1999.00129.x.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1999). Expert-based probabilistic population projections. In: Frontiers of Population Forecasting. Eds. Lutz, W., Vaupel, J.W., & Ahlburg, D.A., New York: Population Council.

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1999). Probabilistische Bevoelkerungsprognosen fuer Deutschland. In: Herausforderungen unserer aelter werdenden Gesellschaft an den einzelnen und die Politik. Eds. Bundestag, Enquete-Kommission Demographischer Wandel Deutscher, Decker: Vol. 4.

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1999). What Do We Know About the Future Changes in the Proportions of Children and Elderly in Europe? IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-00-005. Reprinted from Compendium of Family Studies in Austria 1999; Schriftenreihe Nr. 7, Austrian Institute for Family Studies, Vienna, Austria pp.123-139 (1999)

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1999). What do we know about future changes in the proportions of children and elderly in Europe? In: Compendium of Family Studies in Austria 1999. Eds. Lutz, W. , Austrian Institute for Family Studies: Schriftenreihe Nr. 7.

Scherbov, S. (1999). Too many and too old? Living with uncertainty in long-term population projections. Orgyn (Organon's Magazine on Women & Health)

Scherbov, S. & Vianen, H. van (1999). Fertility Change in Russia Since 1930: Data and Estimates. Working Paper 99-2, Population Research Centre, University of Groningen, Netherlands (1999)

Scherbov, S. & Vianen, H. van (1999). The Fertility Transition in Russia: Women Born Between 1900 and 1960. Working Paper 99-1, Population Research Centre, University of Groningen, Netherlands (1999)

Andreev, E., Scherbov, S. , & Willekens, F. (1998). Population of Russia: What can we expect in the future? World Development 26 (11), 1939-1955. 10.1016/S0305-750X(98)00111-9.

Scherbov, S. (1998). Population Projections: New Opportunities for Software Development. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-98-043

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1998). An Expert-Based Framework for Probabilistic National Population Projections: The Example of Austria. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-98-010. Reprinted from European Journal of Population; 14(1):1-17 (March 1998)

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1998). An expert-based framework for probabilistic national population projections: The example of Austria. European Journal of Population 14 (1), 1-17. 10.1023/A:1006040321755.

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1998). Probabilistische Bevoelkerungsprognosen fuer Deutschland. Zeitschrift fuer Bevoelkerungswissenschaft - Comparative Population Studies (CPoS) 23 (2), 83-109.

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1997). Sensitivity Analysis of Expert-Based Probabilistic Population Projections in the Case of Austria. IIASA Interim Report. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-97-048

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1997). Doubling of world population unlikely. Nature 387 (6635), 803-805.

Andreev, E., Scherbov, S. , & Willekens, F. (1997). The Population of Russia: Fewer and Older. Demographic Scenarios for Russia. Groningen Demographic Report 22, University of Groningen, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, Groningen, Netherlands (1997)

Hanika, A., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (1997). Ein probabilistischer Ansatz zur Bevoelkerungsvorausschaetzung fuer Oesterreich. Statistische Nachrichten 12, 984-988.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1997). Doubling of World Population Unlikely. IIASA Research Report (Reprint). IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: RR-97-010. Reprinted from Nature; 387(6635):803-805 (19 June 1997)

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1996). Probabilistic World Population Projections Based on Expert Opinion. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-96-017

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., & Scherbov, S. (1996). Probabilistic population projections based on expert opinion. In: The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today? Eds. Lutz, W., London: Earthscan. ISBN 1853833495

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W.C., Scherbov, S. , & Goujon, A. (1996). World population scenarios for the 21st century. In: The Future Population of the World: What Can We Assume Today? Eds. Lutz, W., London: Earthscan. ISBN 1853833495

Darsky, L. & Scherbov, S. (1995). Marital status behaviour of women in the former Soviet Republics. European Journal of Population 11 (1), 31-62. 10.1007/BF01264104.

Willekens, F. & Scherbov, S. (1995). Demographic trends in Russia. In: Population and Family in the Low Countries 1994. Eds. Brekel, H. van den & Deven, F., Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1994). Survey of fertility trends in the Republics of the Soviet Union: 1959-1990. In: Demographic Trends and Patterns in the Soviet Union Before 1991. Eds. Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , & Volkov, A., London: Routledge. ISBN 0-415-10194-8

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , & Volkov, A. (1994). Demographic Trends and Patterns in the Soviet Union Before 1991. London: Routledge. ISBN 0-415-10194-8

Scherbov, S. & Willekens, F. (1994). Marital and fertility experience of Soviet women. In: Demographic Trends and Patterns in the Soviet Union Before 1991. Eds. Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , & Volkov, A., London: Routledge. ISBN 0-415-10194-8

Darsky, L. & Scherbov, S. (1993). Marital Status Behavior of Women in the Former USSR: Regional Aspects. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-93-043

Andreev, E., Scherbov, S. , & Willekens, F. (1993). Mortality in the Former Soviet Union, Past and Future. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-93-013

Lutz, W., Scherbov, S. , & Pirozhkov, S. (1992). Reconstructing Ukrainian Fertility During the Years of Cataclysms in the 1930s and 1940s. In: Acta Demographica 1992. pp. 103-116 Berlin/Heidelberg, Germany: Physica-Verlag HD. ISBN 978-3-642-48800-910.1007/978-3-642-48800-9_7.

Willekens, F. & Scherbov, S. (1991). Age-Period-Cohort (APC) Analysis of Mortality with Applications to Soviet Data. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-91-042

Willekens, F. & Scherbov, S. (1990). Marital and Fertility Careers of Soviet Women: A Life Table Analysis. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-90-078

Darsky, L. & Scherbov, S. (1990). Parity-Progression Fertility Tables for the Nationalities of the USSR. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-90-053

Lutz, W., Pirozkov, S., & Scherbov, S. (1990). Modelling Ukrainian Fertility Since 1925. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-90-025

Scherbov, S. , Keyfitz, N., Lutz, W., Prinz, C., & Wils, A.B. (1990). Demographic Aspects of Changes in the Soviet Pension System. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-90-003

Keyfitz, N., Heilig, G.K., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (1989). Population Beyond the Boundaries of Demography. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-89-106

Andreev, E., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (1989). Averaging Life Expectancy. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-89-035

Lutz, W. & Scherbov, S. (1989). Multi-State Analysis of Family Dynamics in Austria: Scenarios to the Year 2030. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-89-005

Scherbov, S. & Lutz, W. (1988). Future Regional Population Patterns in the Soviet Union: Scenarios to the Year 2050. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-88-104

Wolf, D.A., Wils, A.B., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (1988). Population Futures for Europe: An Analysis of Alternative Scenarios. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-88-046

Scherbov, S. & Grechucha, V. (1988). "DIAL" - A System for Modeling Multidimensional Demographic Processes. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-88-036

Rusnak, M. & Scherbov, S. (1988). Understanding Medical and Demographic Trends with MEDDAS. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-88-023

Scherbov, S. & Golubkov, V. (1986). Derivative-free Gauss-Newton-like Algorithm for Parameter Estimation. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-86-063

Scherbov, S. , Yashin, A.I., & Grechucha, V. (1986). Dialog System for Modeling Multidimensional Demographic Processes. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-86-029

Scherbov, S. & Usbeck, H. (1983). Simulation of Multiregional Population Change: An Application to the German Democratic Republic. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-83-006