Convening Lead Author (CLA)
Keywan Riahi (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria)
Lead Authors (LA)
Frank Dentener (Joint Research Center, Italy)
Dolf Gielen (United Nations Industrial Development Organization)
Arnulf Grubler (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria and Yale University, USA)
Jessica Jewell (Central European University, Hungary)
Zbigniew Klimont (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria)
Volker Krey (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria)
David McCollum (University of California, Davis, USA)
Shonali Pachauri (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria)
Shilpa Rao (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria)
Bas van Ruijven (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, the Netherlands)
Detlef P. van Vuuren (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, the Netherlands)
Charlie Wilson (Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, UK)
Contributing Authors (CA)
Morna Isaac (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, the Netherlands)
Mark Jaccard (Simon Fraser University, Canada)
Shigeki Kobayashi (Toyota Central R&D Laboratories, Japan)
Peter Kolp (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria)
Eric Larson (Princeton University and Climate Central, USA)
Yu Nagai (Vienna University of Technology, Austria)
Pallav Purohit (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria)
Jules Schers (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, the Netherlands)
Diana Ürge-Vorsatz (Central European University, Hungary)
Rita van Dingenen (Joint Research Center, Italy)
Oscar van Vliet (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria)
Review Editor
Granger Morgan (Carnegie Mellon University, USA)
17.1 Introduction
17.1.1 Scenarios and Energy Transformations
17.1.2 Roadmap of the Chapter
17.2 GEA Scenario Logic
17.2.1 Scenario Taxonomy
17.2.2 Branching Points and the GEA Pathways
17.2.3 Energy Objectives and Targets of the Sustainability Transition
17.3 The GEA Energy Transition Pathways
17.3.1 Economic Growth and Demographic Change
17.3.2 Energy Demand and Services
17.3.3 Energy Supply
17.3.4 The GEA Pathways: Energy System Transformations
17.3.5 Energy Investments
17.3.6 Key Features of the Energy Transition
17.4 Access to Modern Energy Carriers and Cleaner Cooking
17.4.1 Access to Clean Fuels for Cooking
17.4.2 Access to Electricity
17.4.3 Impacts of Access Policies on Energy Demand and Greenhouse Gas Emissions
17.4.4 Summary of the Costs and Impacts of Access Policies
17.5 Energy and the Environment
17.5.1 Climate Change
17.5.2 Air Pollution
17.6 Energy Security
17.6.1 Introduction
17.6.2 Fuels
17.6.3 End-Use Sectors
17.6.4 Regions
17.6.5 Conclusions on Energy Security
17.7 Synergies and Multiple Benefits of Achieving Different Energy
Objectives Simultaneously
17.7.1 Characterization of the Full Scenario Space
17.7.2 Synergies between Objectives
17.7.3 Conclusion
References